Msd 6A 1982 VW grey rabbit installation and evaluation
First posted

Sunday August 21, 2005 08:22
Updated
Sunay April 15, 2007 10:57

2003 Toyota Corrola essential non-gas-wasting trip mileage
Essential San Juan fly fishing trip

When this sign reads 55
,
then we will know congress and the feds
are getting serious about peak oil
Peak Oil
Energy Bulletin
The Oil Drum
The class of 1956 essntial reunion travel


Essential New Mexico Quail hunt travel
Essential Kansas travel 2005.
Essential Kansas travel 2006.
Essential chukar hunting travel

Not the control pressure regulator causing the problem.

Grey rabbit still runs terribly - missing and little power at low speed.

Next step was to check compression on Thursday December 7, 2006

         Cylinder compression in psi
  1 2 3 4
Dry 120 120 110 115
Bit of transmission oil added 120 135 120 130

Several revolutions needed to bring up compression.

Conclusion is that rings are somewhat worn but valves look to be okay.


Grey rabbit should run better. So maybe the problem is in the msd ignition?! So let's put the original coil in and test.



msd ignition

 Date miles driven gallons of fuel used price mpg  comments
10/8/06 228.1 6.624 2.239 34.43 Esesential non-gas-wasting to Los Lunas and Bernalillo, nm
10/3/06 264.1 7.432 2.299 35.53 Esesential non-gas-wasting to Mountainair, nm
9/31/06 233.8 7.275 2.299 32.13 Esesential non-gas-wasting trips.
9/23.06 274.8 8.025 2.419 34.24 Esesential non-gas-wasting trip to Lamy, NM returning through Mountainair, NM.
9/18/06 250.4 7?.?81 2.489 ? Two column in the receipt did not print. Good, but uncertain mileage with essential non-gas-wasting trips to los lunas, nm via wild horse mesa and bernalillo
9/16/06 274.5 8.506 2.489 32.27 Essential non-gas-wasting trips to los lunas and bernalillo. Grey rabbit sat a week while bill was in Rhode Island.
9/4/06 256.1 7.703 2.699 33.25 Don't remember.

Let's do some computations on highway speed, mpg, time in route to destination, and gallons used.


If you go fast you get there quicker but may use more gas.

If you go slow you get better mileage but you have to drive more hours.

So let's try to compute who wins!
8/21/06 270.1 7.407 2.869 36.47 essential non-gas wasting trip to mountanair returning from belen, nm at high speed on I 25.
8/19/06 259.2 6.794 2.869 38.15 essential non-gas wasting trip to pistol shoot on the desert wes of los lunas then to mountanair, nm to view BNSF railroad single track bottleneck. Speed mostly 55-60 but some 75 mph I 25 driving. Humid.Tank filled really full.
8/18/08 243.7 7.522 285.9 32.40 hot weather. about all in-city driving with one or so essential non-gas wasting trip to bernalillo, nm. Tank filled really full.
8/13/06 243.2 7.071 2.899 34.39 hot weather. about all in-city driving with one or so essential non-gas wasting trip to bernalillo, nm. changed to 30 wt oil.
8/6/06 229.0 6.762 2.999 33.87 essential non-gas wasting trip to wildhorse mesa on Friday August 4, 2006 returning at low speed through rio communities instead of I 25 and in-city driving
8/3/06 258.3 8.102 2.999 31.88 essential non-gas wasting trip to wildhorse mesa and in-city driving
7/26/06 216.6 7.081 3.019 30.59 hot weather. about all in-city driving.
7/17/06 222.5 7.093 3.019 31.37 trip to texas - grey rabbit not driven.
7/3/06 207.6 7.975 2.909 26.01 tank appears to a filled completely. 6/27/06 mileage is too high. This is likely too low.
6/27/06 222.5 6.596 2.909 33.72 rabbit not used for 16 days while on 4,680 essential travel. pump may have shut off early.
6/4/06  207.0 6.315 291.9 32.78 all in-city driving with two essential non-gas-wasting trip to Bernalillo.
6/1/06 254.0 7.599 2.899 33.42 all in-city driving with on essential non-gas-wasting trip to Bernalillo.
5/27/06 254.6 7.355 2.859 34.62 all in-city driving with two essential non-gas-wasting trip to Bernalillo.
5/21/06 237.7 8.038 2.819 29.57 all in-city driving
5/16/06 204.9 5.588 2.899 36.68 all in-city driving - pump may have shut-off a bit soon.
5/11/06 229.4 7.600 2.899 30.18 all in-city driving.
5/5/06 228.0 6.388 2.749 35.69 about 50 miles to Navajo dam from bloomfield at low speed. 70-75 mph from bloomfield to abq. filled-up at sandia resevation. It's down hill to abq from bloomfield.
5/3/06 226.0 7.052 2.952 32.00 about 60 miles travel in abq too look at pecan shell. remaining travel was at about 70-75 mph to fill-up in bloomfield, nm. bloomfield [about 7,000 feet altitude] is about 1,200 feet higher than abq.
5/2/06 127.9 3.552 2.769 36.01 in city driving. filled-up early for essential travel fishing trip.to San Juan river.
4/29/06 204.6 6.013 2.819  34.03 in city driving with essential trip to trip to Quality Bait to buy 100 red wiggler worms for compost barrel and 40 euro worms for fising Navajo lake.
4/26/06 222.5 6.375 279.9 34.90 in city driving with essential trip to paa-ko, nm to look at FOR SALE signs.
4/21/06 Exactly 34 mps, exactly 7 gallons used. 7 * 34 = 238.



pump automatically stopped exactly as you see it. Mileage was written on receipt at Sandia pueblo gas station.
mpg computations were made using Windows calculator later.

Coincidences happen.
238.0 7.000 2.859 34.00 in city driving with essential trips to cedar crest and bernalillo.

we are amused by all of the FOR SALE signs on houses, big SUVs and motor homes.


most of these homes have to truck-in water ... and truck-out sewage.

most residents have to commute to albuquerque.

If, in fact, peak oil was on December 16, 2005, then 2006 may bring real grief to those who live in or on the east side of the Sandia mountains.

Some of us senior citizens will hopefully see ... in a grey rabbit.
4/16/06 210.0 6.337 2.749 33.14 in city driving with one essential trip to algodones, nm.
4/12/06 214.1 6.537 2.719 32.75 in city driving with one essential trip to algodones, nm.
4/7/06 214.5 6.62 2.669 32.4 about 50 miles essential trip to Yrssari, New Mexico
4/2/06 279.3 8.422 2.609 33.16 all in-city driving. Added 6 oz of Berryman B-12 to crankcase, ran engine for 4 min 45 sec, changed out. Berryman's previous procedure [run for 15-20 minutes] appears to have trashed previous 1.7 liter engine- but it sure was clean on sidie. 1995 white honda valve lifterswere clanking badly. tried berryman procedure. it didn't immediately appear to work. now white honda valve lifters are really quiet. many berryman
3/28/06 223.2 6.567 2.508 33.99 Returned to abq through cerillos [stopped at mining museum] and madrid on essential trip. warm weather.
3/25/06 195.3 6.213 2.479 31.43 Filled up at Santa Domingo pueblo on essential trip to Santa Fe to each lunch at Bagelmania and walk plaza.
3/20/06 235.6 7.743 2.259 30.43 All in-city driving. Double sided sticky tape holding msd A6 to vacuum reservoir separated. More sticky tape applied.
3/14/06 221.9 7.475 2.379 29.69 All in-city driving. Cold weather.
3/8/06 209.9 6.785 2.349 30.94 All in-city driving.
3/3/06 209.7 6.5* 2.379 32.26* Receipt received for previous purchase. Gallons were 6.??? so we'll use 6.5.
2/27/06 232.4 7.044 2.259 32.99 Essential travel in abq with [third] sister-in-law
2/22/06 279.0 8.413 2.239 33.16 Essential trip to Los Alamos with [third] sister-in-law
2/20/06 240.6 7.328 2.219 32.83 Essential trip to rio puerco for pactice shooting at broken clay birds in preparation for concealed handgun course - in addition to essential abq city driving.
2/18/06 219.2 7.443 2.189 29.45 All in-city driving. Cold weather Friday and Saturday but about 68 on Wednesday
2/13/06 204.3 7.092 2.219 28.81 All in-city driving. Cold weather.
2/7/06 210.8 6.610 2.289 31.89 All in-city driving.
2/2/06 235.1 7.360 2.269 31.94 Mostly around town ... but essential trip to Yrissari, Nm to buy a can of pepsi and enjoy scenery.
1/24/06 264.5 8.082 2.339 32.84 Automatic gas shut-off filled tank super full. Gauge needle is was to right of full mark. Mostly in-city driving at a about 45 mph looking at vehicles for sale parked on Albuquerque streets.
1/21/06 222.1 6.727 2.339 33.01 One essential trip to wildhorse mesa to buy a bottle of water and shoot at broken clay bird at the Rio Puerco. Drove back to Albuquerque though the Rio communities at 45 mph.. Grey rabbit can get 36 mpg at 55 mph or less.
 1/18/06 226.9 7.509 2.269 29.55 Cold weather. One essential trip to to Dalies, NM [old photo] try to photo tanker train.
1/14/06 217.2 7.142 2.249 30.42 One essential trip to Los Lunas to shoot at shot shell hulls. Here's the reason grey rabbit was not filled sooner.
Quail hunt pics!
1/8/06 208.8 7.084 2.309 29.48 Ignition timing advance a bit so timing mark barely visible.
Performance now is excellent. Town driving.
01/4/06 236.2 7.874 2.239 30.00 Essential trip to Lamy, NM.
1/2/06 200.1 8.696 2.289 23.01 December 22, 2005, just before we left for Austin on another essential travel trip, a puddle of gas was observed under grey rabbit. Grey rabbit has an auxiliary gas filter between the tank and fuel pump.
12/19/05 212.7 7.045 2.179 30.19 Essential travel of about 100 miles for .22 target shooting and visit to Wildhorse mesa included with city driving.
12/16/05 202.4 6.818 2.179 29.69 No ethanol
12/13/05 202.8 7.488 2.179 27.08 Ethanol-enhanced gas
 12/08/05 219.6 8.596 2.169 25.55 Super-cold for albuquerque. Outside temperature 14 degree F on 12/8. Gas gauge visibibly move lower when driving.
12/02/05 231.8 8.149 2.139 28.44 One trip to Discount Auto, another to Los Lunas to shoot at beer cans.

Important! Since msd stats have been collected, 30 wt Pennzoil has been used.

We're switching to 10-40.
11/24/05 132.5 4.034 2.219 32.85 75 mph trip and return to Los Lunas, then about a 60 mph trip to wildhorse mesa and return.
The msd ignition mileage performance is not all that good. But the msd seemed greatly increase mileage before the spark was retarded to pass emissions test.

Grey rabbit seemed to have "flat spots" in acceleration and "pauses" at steady speed after emission test was passed.

So today, Thanksgiving and Deffeyes day, the timing was advanced about 1/4 to 1/2 inch on the flywheel or  about 3/4 to 7/8 the distance though the viewing hole.   

No more "flat spots" or "pauses". So late timing, not the msd, might be the source of not-better-mileage problem?
Lauritsen Lecture, 8:00 PM - 10:00 PM, Beckman Auditorium "The Peak of World Oil Production: Thanksgiving Day, 2005," Ken Deffeyes.

The methods which M. King Hubbert used to predict the peak of United States oil production can now be applied to world production. Dr. Deffeyes's analysis places the world oil production peak on Thanksgiving Day, 2005. Severe consequences are to be expected for transportation and for agriculture. It may be too late to arrange for a soft landing; the consequences of a hard landing are not cheerful to contemplate.


We, of course, will see!
11/24/05 233.4 8.695 2.199 26.84 To Discount Auto on freeway. All other in-city driving.
 11/20/05 202.0 7.755 2.249 26.06 All in-city driving
11/16/05 206.5 7.560 2.339 27.31 Included is 100 miles of essential travel at about 75 mph to practice clay bird shooting west of Los Lunas, NM. Grey rabbit was not driven Friday 11 through Monday 14.
11/09/05 184.5 6.494 2.379  28.41 Included is 100 miles of essential travel at about 75 mph to practice clay bird shooting west of Los Lunas, NM
11/06/05 204.9 7.105 2.479 28.84 Mostly in city. One essential driving trip to west of los lunas to take 56 shots at clay birds in preparation for likely Kansas pheasant hunting trip.
11/3/05 249.7 8.555 2.549 29.19 One trip on I 40/25 to discount auto. Second trip on I 4/25 to west of Los Lunas for clay bird practice.
Shifting from 3-rd to 5-th in city driving did not appear to improve gas mileage and decreased rabbit performance.
 10/31/05 223.9 7.721 2.499 29.03 I 25 trip of about 80 miles included. Dring winter months grey rabbit milefage decreases about 2 mpg.
As a result of escalating raw material costs, SI Geosolutions (SI) has announced a 12 percent price increase across its entire line of woven and nonwoven geotextiles. The increase is effective on all shipments beginning November 1, 2005.
10/28/05 143.9 4.197 2.679 34.29 Sometime it appears that grey rabbits gets great mileage in albuquerque and other times bad mileage. So grey rabbit was filled at a time the mileage looked good. Two trips on I 40/I 25 to Discount Auto for a total of about 120 miles are included. Speed limit is 45 mph on I 40 due to construction.

Flying J diesel prices.
Take a comparison of two 2006 Volkswagen Golfs: one diesel, one gasoline powered, both manual and same engine size. Fuel for a diesel-powerd car would cost you about $970 a year versus $1,360 for the gasoline-powered model, assuming 15,000 miles of driving.
I watch diesel prices because I drive a diesel automobile when I'm not riding my motorcycle; in my market, diesel is up 80.7 cents since last year. I worry about diesel prices because more than two-thirds of this country's freight travels by truck; only about 15% travels by rail.
10/27/05 230.9 8.495 2.499 27.18 About 50-70 miles of 75 mph freeway travel
10/23/05 179.9 5.965 2.579 30.16 Albuquerque, NM Sandia Indian reservation
10/22/05 192.4 5.935 2.799 32.42 Bloomfield, NM
10/22/05 237.8 7.636 2919 31.14 Moab, UT
10/21/05 225.8 8.122 2.819 27.80  Woodscross, UT About 75 mph steady on I 15. Left outer CV jount failed!!!
10/21/05 253.7 7.793 2.859 32.55 Rexburg, ID 
10/19/05 219.2 7.555 2.798 29.01 Ennis, MT. Automatic pump shut-off failed. Gas spilled.
10/18/05 191.2 6.019 2.789 31.78 Ennis, MT - fishing the Madison river. 3 trout landed - 1 lost spinning. Left outer CV joint clanking.
10/17/05 202.7 7.475 2.879 27.18 Rexburg, ID About 75 mph steady on I 15.
10/17/05 219.1 6.900 2.859 31.75 Ogden, UT - Union station museum.
10/16/05 223.5 6.682 3.099 33.45 Green River, UT.
10/16/05 217.1 7.339 2.799 29.58 Fishing trip to West Yellowstone, MYstart. Fill-up at Kirtland, NM.
10/15/05 228.9 7.911 2.679 28.82 Includes a trip to Los Lunas at 75 mph on I25
10/13/05         30 wt Pennzoil drained. 3.5 quarts of 10-40 added. New filter in preparation for fishing trip in western Montana.
10/12/05 191.1 6.914 2.759 27.64 Filled-up early. 86 octane on the Sandia Indian reservations.
Let's try some higher octane gas on the next fill-up.
10/0905 226.1 8.219 2.799 27.51 Pattern of the gas gauge not moving when travelling at a steady speed and moving when lots of starts and stops noticed.
01/04/05 194.6 6.493 2.859 29.97 Properly timed grey rabbit. Grey rabbit was timed on October 2, 2005. Bill couldn't even see the timing mark it was so retarded!
09/29/05 218.5 8.444 2.879 25.87 Retarded ignition timing.
09/24/05 133.0 5.259 2.699 25.28 Retarded ignition timing.
09/15/05 269.1 8.735 2.899 30.80 Gas bought in Española, NM on return from fishing trip to Rio Chama. This mileage included running at idle, barely moving, just south of Algodones, NM waiting for a wreck to be cleared on I-25 FOR ABOUT 50 MINUTES!!!

Retarded ignition timing.
 09/19/05 244.1 8.792 2.559 27.76 Retarded ignition timing.
09/14/05 244.9 8.993 2.619 27.23 Six gallons of gas added from plastic container. Retarded ignition timing.


vw ignition

 Date miles driven gallons of regular used price $ mpg  comments
08/29/20 129.7 4.673 2.619 27.75  
09/01/05 236.8 7.355 3.059 32.19  
08/17/05 212.8 7.319 2.589 29.07  
08/1105 179.7 6.149 2.889 29.22  
07/24/05 213.2 7.383 2.219 28.87  
12/28/04 157 6.185 1.789 25.38  
01/22/05 110 8.230 1.729 13.36 Mistake in writing down miles driven?
01/26/05 207.6 7.932 1.709 26.21  
02/02/05 193.0 7.494 1.759 25.75  
02/06/05 221.9 7.851 1.75.9 28.26  
02/10/05 201.2 6.764 1.70.9 29.74  
02/15/05 217.1 8.207 1.779 26.45  
02/18/05 184.9 6.447 1.779 28.68  
03/07/05 249.8 8.191 1.939 30.49  
02/24/05 213.7 7.789 1.799 27.43  
03/24/05 287.5 6.356 1.859 45.23 Another mistake?
03/01/05 200.5 7.088 1.879 28.29  
03/11/05 279.8 9.006 1.979 31.07  
03/17/05 166.8 5.775 1.999 28.88  
03/23/05 193.1 6.829 2.099 28.27  
03/26/05 214.4 7.305 2.119 29.34  
03/31/05 165.8 5.700 2.119 29.09  
03/28/05 216.9 7.032 211.9 30.84  
04/02/05 167.2 5.490 2.119 30.45  
04/05/05 153.8 5.124 2.199 30.01  
04/03/05 192.9 5.324 2.229 36.23 Grey rabbit gets about 36 mpg in country driving at 55 mph
04/25/05 187.7 6.054 2.179 31.00  
04/29/05 219.9 7.111 2.119 30.92  
05/02/05 230.2 7.460 2.119 30.86  
5/07/05 210.2 7.773 2.099 27.04  
05/13/05 257.9 8.171 2.119 31.56  
05/19/05 234.6 7.551 2.099 30.07  
05/23/05 227.7 7.262 2.079 31.35  
06/06/05 148.7 4.946 2.119 30.06  
07/01/05 199.2 5.586 2.179 35.66 55 mph country trip likely
06/13/05 211.8 7.383 2.059 28.69  
06/08/05 226.6 8.075 2.119 28.06  
07/12/05 241.0 7.653 2.259 29.84  
07/19/05 267.9 9.107 2.199 29.42  
01/09/05 234.2 8.573 1.639 27.31  

German Loremo AG will introduce their ultra Efficient Car at the Motor Show 2006 (site) in Geneva next week.

The car start-up developed a light-weight passenger car with outstanding aerodynamics. The Loremo LS is powered by a 2 cylinder Turbo Diesel engine with 20 hp and 160km/h top speed. The amazing thing is that the Loremo only needs 1.5l per 100km. This is approx. 157MPG!


Bonner writes about the Mine Shaft Tavern in Madrid, New Mexico.

Photos taken about 13:30 Saturday January 28, 2006 from return essential trip to Lamy for outdoor lunch at the train station.


But when we got to the little town of Madrid, New Mexico, only one word seemed to work: funky. Without it, the town couldn't exist.

Nothing is quite straight in Madrid. The houses lean. The floors sink. The people drift.


Chipped windshield aka parabrisas.

Inside the Bradbury museum in Los Alamos, NM Wednesday February 22, 2006.

Statues of Oppenheimer and Groves.

J. Robert Oppenheimer
1904 - 1967

Leslie R. Groves
17-Aug-1896
13-Jul-1970




Coming down the "the hill" from Los Alamos to Santa Fe.


"If I can't take it with me...I'm not going," said one sign on the wall, next to the dollar bills that were pasted up almost everywhere.

"We have no town drunk," said another. "We all take turns."
The words "We have no town drunk," are just below the Madrid sign.



The woman at the bar had tattoos down her arm. She was drunk and almost ugly in the daylight. Still, she tried to flirt with the men drinking their beer. We didn't know what to make of her.

"She must be a local prostitute," Elizabeth guessed.

We were seated at a round table in a rectangular room in a drifty town where nothing seemed straight. More on Madrid, New Mexico...and other things...below...after the financial news:

Several cowboys sat on bar stools drinking their beer, when we came in. The barmaid seemed as busy as a firefighter - trying to keep up with the demand for beer. Cowboys and tourists sat at the tables. One man in a Stetson hat leaned on a walker as he made his way to the bathroom.

One of the men at the bar was a typical and unmemorable fellow in jeans and T-shirt. Another was a strange, big- bellied character with black muttonchop whiskers and eyes that hadn't seen straight in years. But what caught our attention was the woman who moved between them. Flirting with the first man...and then, when he ignored her...she moved onto the second. If it was a paramour she was seeking, she seemed to be in the wrong place. Then again, she seemed to be the wrong woman, too. She had tattoos up and down her arm...and wore a dress that took all the form out of her. This left the viewer's eye with nothing to focus upon but the hideous tattoos...and the face.

The poor woman was no beauty. She was no young filly either. Not that she was old; she simply looked as though she had been ridden too hard. She had long dark hair...which framed a bad complexion and a missing tooth.

After a few minutes, she was joined by another woman of about the same age. This one had just come in from outside, where a thunderstorm had caught her. She was wearing a pair of overalls with the legs cut off...and a pair of hiking boots. Her hair was plastered down from the rain...her clothes were soaked...and water glistened from her bare legs. The slippery, wet legs were pretty and well shaped. In fact, the woman might have been attractive, but she too looked as though she needed a vacation, and a tooth.
Pinched between the Scylla of debt and the Charybdis of declining real, spendable income - with all the costs, illusions of a decaying empire to sustain, with his dollars losing value (and his Fed chief dropping them from helicopters) pumping three-dollar gasoline into his gas-guzzling land barge, and making monthly payments on a mortgage that towers over his house like the Washington Monument over a bum’s cardboard box - what will the poor man do?

Guy camera focused on is preparing lunch.



Guy at the right in blue jeans and brown Carhartt jacket told bill he came to New Mexio at this station in 1946 when he was 10 years old.

He is one year older than bill.


We talked about heating and lighting rural homes before rural electric power.
Reason 69 year-old, somewhat hobbled, white-haired senior citizen Stanley, NM rancher whose ranch adjoins former New Mexico governor Bruce King's ranch, who drives a very nice white Toyota 4-Runner, for being in this photo is that he is accompanying his about 40 year-old brown haired wife so that she could videotape the arriving Santa Fe and Southern train!

Lamy, NM is where Los Alamos scientists, von Neumann and Ulam, made train connections.

Below link was broken Sunday January 5, 2006.

Here's a replacement.
"The basic idea underlying the method was first brought up by Ulam and deliberated between him and von Neumann in a car when they drove together from Los Alamos to Lamy.

The complexity of these problems demanded computing capabilities unavailable at that time. It was this need for electronic computers that motivated Ulam to participate with fellow Los Alamos mathematician Nick Metropolis and von Neumann in developing the Monte Carlo method, which greatly aided in solving many of the complex problems involved in creating the atomic weapon.

Metropolis, Nicolas.

The Monte Carlo Method. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1949. Volume 44, Number 247, September 1949 Numerical methods that are known as Monte Carlo methods can be loosely described as statistical simulation methods, where statistical simulation is defined in quite general terms to be any method that utilizes sequences of random numbers to perform the simulation. Monte Carlo methods have been used for centuries, but only in the past several decades has the technique gained the status of a full-fledged numerical method capable of addressing the most complex applications. The name ``Monte Carlo'' was coined by Metropolis (inspired by Ulam's interest in poker) during the Manhattan Project of World War II, because of the similarity of statistical simulation to games of chance, and because the capital of Monaco was a center for gambling and similar pursuits. Monte Carlo is now used routinely in many diverse fields, from the simulation of complex physical phenomena such as radiation transport in the earth's atmosphere and the simulation of the esoteric subnuclear processes in high energy physics experiments, to the mundane, such as the simulation of a Bingo game. See: Eckhardt, Roger (1987). Stan Ulam, John von Neumann, and the Monte Carlo method, Los Alamos Science, Special Issue (15), 131-137. Metropolis, Nicholas and Stanislaw Ulam (1949). The Monte Carlo method, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 44 (247), 335-341. Another account: Credit for inventing the Monte Carlo method often goes to Stanislaw Ulam, a Polish born mathematician who worked for John von Neumann on the United States’ Manhattan Project during World War II. Ulam is primarily known for designing the hydrogen bomb with Edward Teller in 1951. He invented the Monte Carlo method in 1946 while pondering the probabilities of winning a card game of solitaire. Quoted in Eckhardt (1987), Ulam describes the incident as: The first thoughts and attempts I made to practice [the Monte Carlo Method] were suggested by a question which occurred to me in 1946 as I was convalescing from an illness and playing solitaires. The question was what are the chances that a Canfield solitaire laid out with 52 cards will come out successfully? After spending a lot of time trying to estimate them by pure combinatorial calculations, I wondered whether a more practical method than “abstract thinking” might not be to lay it out say one hundred times and simply observe and count the number of successful plays. This was already possible to envisage with the beginning of the new era of fast computers, and I immediately thought of problems of neutron diffusion and other questions of mathematical physics, and more generally how to change processes described by certain differential equations into an equivalent form interpretable as a succession of random operations. Later … [in 1946, I] described the idea to John von Neumann, and we began to plan actual calculations. And another: Short History of Monte Carlo Simulation The name "Monte Carlo" appeared in the World War II times, and sometimes is attributed to the researcher Nicholas Metropolis, inspired in the interest of Stanislaw Ulam, his colleague of Manhattan Project at Los Alamos, in the poker game. Monte Carlo, the capital of Monaco, was a known reference for gambling. According Eckhardt, Ulam invented the Monte Carlo method in 1946 while pondering the probabilities of winning a card game of solitaire. However, Metropolis "attributes the germ of this statistical method to Enrico Fermi, who had used such ideas some 15 years earlier”.. According Liu (2001, p.vii-viii): "The basic idea underlying the method was first brought up by Ulam and deliberated between him and von Neumann in a car when they drove together from Los Alamos to Lamy. Allegedly, Nick Metropolis coined the name 'Monte Carlo', which played an essential role in popularizing the method". Liu comments that the Los Alamos scientists aiming to take advante of the first "super" computer MANIAC, invented a statistical sampling-based technique to solve problems related to stochastic neutron diffusion in atomic bomb project and for estimating eigenvalues of the Schrödinger equation. Winston (1996, p.22) wrote that the term was coined by mathematicians S. Ulam and J. von Neumann in the feasibility project of atomic bomb by simulations of nuclear fission, and they given the code name Monte Carlo for these simulations. The first Monte Carlo paper, "The Monte Carlo Method" by Metropolis & Ulam, was published in 1949 in the Journal of the American Statistical Association. Since then, several different areas has been using the Monte Carlo simulations. With the advent of personal computers and the popularization of faster computational machines, the Monte Carlo simulations has been increasing popular as an important alternative for the solution of complex problems. Shewhart, Walter Andrew. Statistical Method from the Viewpoint of Quality Control. With the editorial Assistance of W. Edwards Deming. Washington, DC, Department of Agriculture: 1939. First edition. 8vo, 1x,155pp, diagrams, tables etc in the text. Original cloth. A fine (+) copy. Very bright. $1250 Fine copy of a scarce and seminal work. "Whereas Shewhart's early writings and first book (1931) were focused on statistical control of industrial production processes, in his second book (above) he extended the applications of statistical process control to the measurement processes of science, and stressed the importance of operational definitions of basic quantities in science, industry and commerce….(this book) has profoundly influenced statistical methods of research in the behavioral, biological and physical sciences, and in engineering…" (DSB, XVIII, 818a) (Book ID 21322) $4,000.00

The Monte Carlo method came into concrete form with its attendant rudiments of a theory after I proposed the possibilities of such probabilistic schemes to Johnny [von Neumann] in 1946 during one of our conversations. It was an especially long discussion in a government car while we were driving from Los Alamos to Lamy.

von neumann
von Neumann and 11-year-old daughter
Marina on Santa Fe plaza circa 1949

While driving through rural New Mexico to the east of Albuquerque lots of these FOR SALE signs are seen.



These signs were between Galisteo and Cerillos, NM.

There are lots of country homes between Albuquerque and Santa Fe to the east of the Sandia mountains.

Not many to the west because these are tribal lands.

Most of these homes are heated with propane and most must truck-in water.

This reality had begun to penetrate the American collective consciousness and will be represented in 2006 by millions of individual choices to not buy a new suburban house, either because the individuals fear the expense of long commutes or they fear the cost of heating a 4000 square foot house occupied by only a few people (or both). As the inventory of unsold new houses mounts up, the prices of all houses, new and old, will start to go down. There will be enormous psychological resistance to this reality, expressed in a lag of correct pricing, as the owners of these value-shedding "investments" wait for the bubble behavior (anticipated 10 to 20 percent asset appreciation) to return. Eventually they will get the picture.

Bird hunting buddy lives in Sandia Heights adobe 3,200 square foot home.

Sandia Heights is not on Albuquerque water or gas.

Propane is required for heating.

Bird hunting buddy reported his December propane bill was $550. But not to worry. Bird hunting buddy can afford it.

Our neighbors with their SUV-sized homes are trying to get somewhat fuel efficient.

Here's Bill and Carolyn's fleet.




They're down to four vehicles now that they sold their 2003 Subaru Forester.

The vehicle marked with the red square is a 3/4-ton crew cab 4x4 chevy equipped with camper.

The SUV marked by the green square is Bill's government-supplied car: Coast and Geodetic Survey, day job.


Here's Bill's other job.

Their Ford Explorer is marked by the yellow square. And the new Prius addition is marked by the white square.

The SUV-sized home just to the east of us is occupied by senior citizens Jerry and Linda.


Linda's husband was a retired Sandia Labs employee. He died.

Then Jerry moved in!


Jerry is retired from the US Forest Service.

Linda had Honda CVR but just traded it for the Prius you see.

The Toyota Sequoia is Jerry's gas guzzler.



Our neighbors are now thinking green.

But do they know?


TechSmart
BY JIM LOUDERBACK

EVERYTHING works great. Except when it doesn't.

These days, tiny computers run your car, your house ... you name it. And fixes that once required a simple wrench now call for technical wizardry.

NANCY MORRISON joined an elite group last year She became the proud owner of a Toyota Prius. Those hybrid cars combine electric and gasoline engines to deliver amazing gas mileage - often more than 50 miles per gallon. But it takes a lot of technical wizardry to make the car run correctly. A computer controls just about everything, from the touch screens inside to how the gas and electric engines cooperate. You don't start the Prius; you boot it up.

Everything was going great for the Santa Cruz, Calif, resident until the day she drove the car just a mile too far. Despite a "low fuel" warning, Morrison ran the tank dry. The car stopped. But adding fuel couldn't get it to restart. It turns out her little oversight completely wiped out her car's memory. The entire software setup had to be reinstalled and configured. Other cars, like BMW's new 745, have been plagued by similar glitches, including fuel-system shutdowns while driving!

We expect our computers to crash; most of us have even learned the rudimentary steps to reboot them (which sometimes involves cursing a little). But these days, it's not just PCs that crash. Like an insidious infestation of termites, tiny computers now run just about everything that houses a motor. And wherever you have computers, you unfortunately get computer bugs. However, what's exasperating on your PG can be life-threatening elsewhere. It's difficult to reboot your car, for example, while galloping down the freeway at 65 mph (OK, maybe 70).

When software takes over your house, as my friend Cheryl Currid of Houston found out, it can be worse than termites. She installed a central computer that controls the lights, pipes TV and music into each room, and even secretly detects visitors, allowing her to either unlock or secure the house with a one-word command. A robot even mows the lawn. But the last time I visited, the house went haywire: Lights flashed on and oft the doorbell wouldn't work, and the TV was stuck on Barney & Friends. Currid's hands were tied, she sighed: "It takes eight hours to restart my house." Sure, none of us wants to live like that, but it's unavoidable. Computer software now lurks inside every new car and appliance we buy, and according to Chris Hall of repairclinic.com, a Web site that helps diagnose wayward appliances, it's only going to get worse: "Manufacturers are tripping over themselves to make appliances more innovative and tech-savvy"

Computers are even infiltrating the garden. I just tested a new sprinkler system that relies on a moisture- sensitive computer to decide when to water the grass. But what if a software glitch floods my lawn while I'm on vacation? My house could get washed away.

Despite the problems, computer-based features yield mostly better machines. Without high-tech parts, super-efficient electric and hybrid cars wouldn't exist That sprinkler system can save lots of water, and the temperature and dirt sensors in computer-driven dishwashers mean you get cleaner stuff while using less energy. Even simple computer-controlled thermostats can save big money on your heating bill.

We can't stop software from invading our cars, appliances, yards and homes. But here are four easy steps to minimize problems:

1. Don't be the first to buy something. Sure, that new HammerFritzer 3000 looks great in the magazine, but remember Pioneers are the ones with arrows in their backs. Take that newfangled BMW 745, for instance. Donald Buffamanti, chief sleuth for consumer watchdog group Auto Spies, says this year's model fixes a lot of problems that existed in last year's version 1.0.

2. Look for extended warranties. When it comes to hybrid cars, for example, a longer warranty is better because those essential batteries eventually will wear out. Bugs in computer-driven motors can take years to present themselves.

3. Don't throw away manuals. Software engineers put failure codes" into their systems. That blinking number on your faulty stove or car can tell you exactly what's wrong - if you can decipher the code. Can't find it? RepairClinic.com has compiled code listings for just about every appliance on the block.

And when worse comes to worse, at least you can unplug that appliance, or turn off your car. Wait a minute or so, and then plug it back in or turn it on. Shutting down power actually can exterminate a lot of bugs.

Oh, and take a lesson from Morrison: If your car requires service, get some - and quickly I've yet to see a computer that understands procrastination.

Contributing Editor JIM LOUDERBACK is editor in chieffor Internet at Ziff Davis Media.

USA WEEKEND March 28-30


Hybrid Cars' Ouiet Motors Can Pose Traffic Hazard

Pedestrians Can't Hear Them Coming

By GARY RICHARDS
Knight Ridder Newspapers

SAN JOSE, Calif. - Jenny Sant'Anna was so excited. She had waited months for just the right hybrid, choosing a Toyota Highlander because, though she wants great mileage, she also needs space to cart around her two elementary school kids and three classmates.

It was during her first trip out of the driveway on a warm August morning that Sant'Anna learned about one of the dangerous drawbacks of driving a hybrid: It's so quiet that pedestrians can't hear it when it's starting up or idling, and they often walk right into the path of the moving vehicle.

As hybrid sales skyrocket, there's a growing concern that the battery-gas powered vehicles pose a risk because they aren't as noisy as gas-powered engines. When idling, hybrids run on the quiet electric battery. Most, with the exception of GM and Honda hybrids, can also operate on the battery until the car reaches higher speeds, when the gas engine kicks in.

What follows is silence at locations where drivers are likely to tangle with pedestrians and bicyclists - cross- walks, turning lanes and parking lots.

In Sant'Anna's case, an elderly man enjoying a morning walk didn't hear her coming as she backed into the street. She lunged for the brake, stopping just short of hitting him.

Tom Battle recalled his own near-hit as he walked to his car in the parking lot at Symantec in Mountain View, Calif., where he is the director of engineering.

"I had to jump out of the way of a hybrid, which suddenly, and completely silently, moved toward me," he sald. "The car was a brand new Prius, which I remember because it was still very shiny."

Sales of hybrids in the United States are expected to grow to 277,642 this year, up 31 percent from a year ago when 211,875 were sold in this country.

A hybrid emits less than three decibels of noise when starting up, a level hard to pick up with the human ear. A hybrid clipping along at 35 mph emits 75 decibels - quieter than a vacuum cleaner.

Toyota offers a rear-view camera that enables Prius drivers to see if someone is standing behind their cars. And some hybrid driving manuals warn owners to be alert when driving near pedestrians.

"In a parking lot, people actually turn and look you in the eye and still step in front of the car as if it isn't there," said Rick Jarboe~ owner of a 2003 Prius. "This has happened more times then I care to count, so it is a car where you truly have to be very defensive. It really does change the way you drive near people walking, and it is sometimes scary what you see."

Three years ago, the National Federation of the Blind raised concerns that electric cars and hybrids pose special dangers to people who rely on their hearing to cross a street. The group asked the National Highway traffic Safety Administration to research the effect of quiet cars on pedestrians. The group suggested that some sort of noise be added to hybrids, perhaps by having the radiator fan switch on whenever the car is operating by battery, to alert people walking nearby. So far, no federal studies have been undertaken.

"If I was in a mall parking lot, I would be very concerned walking," said Randy Tamez, 43, who has been blind for 18 years and uses his hearing to judge when it's safe to enter a crosswalk, based on whether traffic is moving or stopped at an intersection. "You think that a driver should see me with a white cane, but that's often not the case.

"I listen for cars. If I can't hear them. that's a worry."

Albuquerque Journal Wednesday November 8, 2006

Sunday January 22 bill was driving around Albuquerque looking at cars parked at the side of the road for sale.

This Ford Expedition was parked at Paseo del Norte and Wyoming.

$32,660 to $45,240 new and now owner is asking $9,900?

Look at the bad reliability and fuel ratings. Black dots.

Read dots signify the best.

The rubber fuel return line in 24 year-old grey rabbit's gas tank disolved several years ago.

Gas cools a VW fuel pump located just in front of the right rear tire.

If the fuel pump intake screen gets clogged, then no cooling and adios expensive [$100-$250] pump.

Solution was to install an after-market filter between the gas tank and fuel pump.

Filter was replaced last week.

Purpose of the kiddie life preserver is to protect senior citizen knees from concrete driveway!

These SUV-sized homes are likely to get very expensive to heat in the future.

Us seniors continue to deny that we are having too much fun.

Silver cobalt consumer reports reliability. See red star.

Were green and grey rabbits more cost effective to operate than continuing to run than white ford?

This is not clear.

Gas mileage is only part of cost of vehicle operation cost.


Dig what is on the horizon?



Our son wants to sell us a 2203 corolla so the can buy a RAV4 or CRV.



We'll do it!

VW parts are expensive. Ford parts are cheap.

It's not clear that we saved any money by buying two VWs [green and grey] rabbits instead of driving gas-gussling white ford.

Daughter used grey rabbit for graduate school to commute to Los Alamos National Laboratory.

But returned grey rabbit when she moved to Austin, TX.

Grey rabbit doesn't have air conditioning. An essential.

Daughter sold white honda, which does have air, to us several years ago.

We discovered some years ago that one cannot afford to drive their own car on a trip of a week or more.

Budget silver cobalt was driven 1,724 miles between December 22 and 28, 2005 for a cost of $153.68.

Here's silver cobalt at the post office in Taiban, NM [between Ft Sumner and Clovis, NM].

Silver cobalt was equipped with cruise control and keyless entry and air conditioning!

This trip it was in the high 70s and even 80s in Austin! We've made the same trip in ice and snow too!


Silver cobalt

 Date miles driven gallons of regular used price $ mpg  comments
12/22/05 292.7 9.076 2.129 32.25 Lubbock,TX
12/23/05 265.0 8.219 2.159 32.24 Brady, TX.
12/25/05 292.7 10.168 2.099 28.79 Westlake Hills [Austin], TX
12/27/05 243.9 7.983 2.159 30.55 Brady, TX
12/27/05 263.9 9.568 2.129 27.58 Lubbock, TX. Strong headwinds between Sweeetwater, TX and Lubbock.
12/28/05 331.4 10.619 2.179 31.21 Albuqueruque, NM

Wildhorse mesa essential travel trip.


Here's grey rabbit at the first of this last week - not running!




But soon we found out that the wiper relay seen below operates the fuel pump!

Grey rabbit creamed a deer outside of Sweetwater, TX last Christmas.

Actually, the converse may be true.

So this year we decided to rent a compact car from Budget for all of $150 for a week tax included.


Allstate insurance adjuster Robert totaled grey rabbit.

Senior citizen Burt at Discount Auto replaced the hood, front end, grill and, left rear fender
.

We wanted to make sure that our collision insurance would cover total cost of repair of rental car rather than just a total of white honda. Robert says it does.

Robert and bill talked about the energy problem.

Lot of FOR SALE signs on gas guzzlers in Albuquerque.

Robert commented that Galles Hummer on San Mateo is full of vehicles.

So we took an essential travel trip to see on Saturday December 17, 2005.




Here's just a small number seen.



Salesman Jim told bill that at last count there are 97 hummers on the lot.

Jim volunteered that last month Galles sold 40 H3 and 16 H2 hummers!

Grey rabbit still hesitated when cold so the timing was advanced a bit more on Sunday December 11, 2005.


Risks of messing with the electrical system include screwing something else up.

The relay seen below is for the fuel pump! Grey rabbit is running again!

Tuesday morning December 13, 2004 initially started, then quit. The fuel pump motor isn't running!


There are frequently disparities between actual rabbit wiring and schematics.

Research is frequently required in addition to studying schematics.

The rear window sprayer relay is another example.



The rear window washer pump relay is to the left of the red check. This is denoted x relay.

The windshield motor relay is designated by the blue triangle. This is properly described on the schematic.

The green star is the relay you see below. It is labelled OIL PRESSURE on the schematic.


Both the front and rear motor relays contain a timing circuit.

When the washer lever is pulled, the front washer motor activates, then the wipers run for four cycles after the lever is released.

When the washer lever is pushed, the rear washer motor activate, the the rear wiper runs for four cycles after lever is release.

When its humid, the rear wiper continued to run so the ground was disconnected to stop the rear wiper.

We'll try to locate a relay so see if this solves the problem


We've discovered that the relay that operates the rear washer is working.

When it was removed the rear washer stopped working.

We discovered that this relay


.

may be guilty.

The relay to the left, when removed, stopped the front wipers from working.
If we knew what it was we were doing, it would not be called research, would it?

A Einstein

Nothing happened when the above relay was removed.

Friday afternoon December 9, 2005 the ignition switch was replaced.

Both the steering wheel and the turn signal have to be removed, Ernie at Discount said.



That's a gear puller which is required to separate the steering wheel from the shaft splines.

That a nylon which goes over the splines on the steering column



which partially holds the locking mechanism you see hanging from the steering splines.

After gluing the plastic parts that broke on removal, the new switch was installed after about three tries.

THEN THE NEW SWITCH FAILED ON SUNDAY DECEMBER 11, 2005! But this time grey rabbit wouldn't start!

So the old switch was retrieved from the garbage can and plugged into the ignition connector.



So the key is turned to the run position to free the steering wheel. A screwdriver is inserted in the slot in the old switch.

Then grey rabbit can be started.

We're going to assume that the new switch was bad. But this might not be the problem.

While doing this repair the rear window wiper stopped working. After studying the Bentley manual an doing some experimentation with a long white wire connected to the plus side of the battery and jumper



to try to find out what wire does what on the windshield wiper connector.

Tentative conclusion is that the rear wiper auxiliary relay failed.


We're off to get a replacement switch.

The replacement switch worked. The Friday switch doesn't work.

AND the old switch works better than the replacement switch!!! The real world again

So the old switch was installed. And the second replacement switch stored in grey rabbit parts box.

For possible future use.

Sirocco 2.0 liter engine swap: rabbit heater replacement

We hope you are listening to some really cool computer music [grand-daughter opinion] while you are hopefully having fun reading this gas economy attempt page.

The report covers energy as a whole and by individual fuel types. These are some of the main points for the second quarter of 2005.

Coal production has fallen sharply with further deep mine closures and “continuing geological and operational difficulties” reducing production at other mines. This production decrease has been met with increased imports.

With gas at $6.70 a gallon in Germany, it is no surprise that Volkswagen has perfected the high-efficiency diesel engine that powers four out of the top-10 EPA-rated cars. The Beetle and Golf take top spots in the compact and sub-compact categories, each with an estimated 44 mpg on the highway and 37 mpg in the city.

Great news!

Clay bird breaking skills improving.

Old age is not responsible for fewer hits.

Merely lack of practice, of course.


More practice and BNSF trains to look at west of Los Lunas, NM Thursday November 10, 2005



Shotgun skills improving!

Not old age but lack of practice is reason!!!

Return from Rio Puerco practice helo refueling spotted.



The white things you see are fueling receptacles.


The helo is tring to stick it fueling extension into a receptacle.

We avoid unessential travel, of course.

Senior citizen retirned insurance adjuster wants to drive his Jeep Grand Cherokee.

On previous trips it gets about 24-26 mpg.

Phone call from senior retired insurance adjuster said Kansas pheasant on.

Leaving 09:00 Friday.



Divers trade their beloved SUVs for gas-thrifty small cars
Editor's note: This is the first of two articles about how high gas prices are changing us. Today's is about smaller cars suddenly making the "in" list. In the next Sunday Journal, staff writer Rosalie Rayburn will report on how some people have decided to rely on muscle, rather than fuel, to get to work. They're dusting off old bikes or buying new ones and pedaling to the office, even as the weather gets colder.

STAFF AND WIRE REPORT W ASHINGTON -

John Mathews, of Universal Toyota in San Antonio, Texas, has witnessed the day that auto executives in Detroit said would never come.

"We are seeing people who are driving $40,000 Suburbans trading them in on $15,000 Corollas," said Mathews, who manages a dealership in a state where big trucks and sport utility vehicles rule the roads. It's no different in New Mexico, where jAckups have long been top sellers.

"Every day, we're getting trade-ins on pickups, big SUVs and vans, and people are getting into a small car," said Frank Tester, a salesman at Karl Malone Toyota and Scion in Albuquerque.

"I just can't afford it.anymore," sald Tina Cordova, president of Albuquerque construction and roofing firm Queston Construction, who said she plans to trade her Ford Expedition SUV in on a smaller car. Even in hurricane-addled Alabama, people pouring in from Louisiana and Mississippi are popping into Treadwell Honda in Mobile looking for replacements for destroyed cars. Harold Wesley, a salesman, in the midst of fielding calls in September, said he can't keep Civics on the lot -new or used.

"As soon as the new ones get here, they are sold." Wesley said the manufacturer is allocating dealers a few cars at a time to be fair. Treadwell's last shipment of 12 sold in three days, he said.

Nationally, Toyota Motor Corp. officials say the Corolla, one of the Japanese company's most fuel-efficient passenger cars, had 8.7 days' supply of inventory at the end of September. In the industry, inventory of 50 to 60 days' supply is seen as adequate.

Honda Motor Co. officials are struggling to keep up with demand for the Civic, of which there was nine days' supply in September. "Inventories are as low or lower than they've ever been for the Civic," said Sage Marie, a Honda spokesman. "They're basically being bought right off the truck."

Meanwhile, not only are commuters opting for more efficient vehicles, many say they're changing driving strategies to combat rising fuel prices.

"We still have our Explorer, but our second caris now a small, four-cylinder sedan, instead of two SUVs," Jim Strozier, a principal at Albuquerque's Consensus Planning Inc., wrote in an e-mail to the Journal. Additionally, Strozier says, he now drops off his son and a friend at the Rio Grande Nature Center calls in September, said he can't keep Civics on the lot -new or used.

"As soon as the new ones get here, they are sold." Wesley said the manufacturer is allocating dealers a few cars at a time to be fair. Treadwell's last shipment of 12 sold in three days, he said.

Nationally, Toyota Motor Corp. officials say the Corolla, one of the Japanese company's most fuel-efficient passenger cars, had 8.7 days' supply of inventory at the end of September. In the industry, inventory of 50 to 60 days' supply is seen as adequate.

Honda Motor Co. officials are struggling to keep up with demand for the Civic, of which there was nine days' supply in September. "Inventories are as low or lower than they've ever been for the Civic," said Sage Marie, a Honda spokesman. "They're basically being bought right off the truck."

Meanwhile, not only are commuters opting for more efficient vehicles, many say they're changing driving strategies to combat rising fuel prices.

"We still have our Explorer, but our second caris now a small, four-cylinder sedan, instead of two SUVs," Jim Strozier, a principal at Albuquerque's Consensus Planning Inc., wrote in an e-mail to the Journal.

Additionally, Strozier says, he now drops off his son and a friend at the Rio Grande Nature Center

Drivers want more fuel economy


from PAGE Cl

once the industry's cash cows. The two automakers. have reported substantial slides in profits in their North American operations this year, and their bonds have junk status on Wall Street.

The interest in small cars has caught the two automakers unprepared, said Dave Healy, an auto industry analyst at Burnhani Securities Inc. in New York. For the Big Three, he said, investment followed profit margins.

"As long as the SUV segment was doing well, they poured money into that and neglected small cars," Healy said. "At that time you could have made a very good case that it was giving the public what it wants."

The spike in gasoline prices and the summer incentives have crushed SUV sales now.

Dealers say inventory of used SUVs is building up.

"We're selling most gas guzzlers to wholesalers now," Karl Malone's Tester says.

Meanwhile, they can't keep smaller new cars on the lot. Customers still have to wait three months for a new hybrid Prius in Albuquerque, apd on-lot inventories of· Corollas or diminutive Scions are slim, Tester says..

But customers looking for a big. VS-powered truck, such as a 4Runner, can reap considerable incentives, such as a 0 percent interest rate for financing, he said. Raj Sundaram, president of Automotive Lease Guide, which tracks vehicle resale values, said SUVs remain under pressure. "Can anybody answer the million-dollar question - when is this going to turn around and end?" he said. "Nobody seems to know."

The Washington Post and Joilmal staff writer Andrew Webb contributed to this report.

Al;buquerque Journal Sunday November 6.2005

Bill is not breaking the percentage of clay birds he did in in his 30s, 40s, and 50s. Not good.

Clearly this is obviously only a function of lack of practice ... not advancing age!

Bill hunted with Bob Wallace in his late 70s.

When Wallace raised his gun to shoot, we hit the ground!

More essential economical travel and practice is obviously required to correct missing clay bird problem!

 Crossing the rio grande Sunday November 6, 2005 on way to Los Lunas, NM



Equipment for tossing and trying to hit clay birds.




New and old technology clay bird tosssers.



Eastward bound BNSF train at Rio Puerco, NM.



Rio Grande looking north at I 25 crossing.

Friday November 4, 2005 afternoon bill spied a piece of paper on the flagstone next to our driveway which must have blown in.

$77.90? Ouch!

Sonny Pistole in Austin, TX about six years ago rebuilt a vw golf transmission for $150 + parts for a total, then, of about $225.

Job growth was surprisingly meager last month, the Labor Department reported yesterday, in a sign that business executives have become worried that the economic damage from high energy prices might be growing.

They note that higher fuel prices do not blunt the demand for petroleum products. Rather than cut back on purchases of gasoline and heating oil, consumers offset the rising cost by cutting back first on other purchases: automobiles and appliances, for example. That slows the economy.

Our msd ignition economy attempt to save gas for essential travel, like fishing, hunting, trying to break clay birds, shooting at beer cans, looks to have merit.

As a senior citizen, exactly 45 days younger than Saddam Hussein, we're continuing to look at new technolgies.

As a shotgun shooter for about 50 years or more

Patty: "Do you wear hearing protection when you shoot?
Bill: "What?"

Keep in mind that all military personnel went through WWII without hearing protection with few hearing problems, Bob Wallace pointed out.

Think business reasons for hearing protection.

we notice a new technogical revolution.

Winchester shot shells used today leave effectively no residue the in barrels. In the days of old [I remember back when ...] lots of powder flakes remained in a shotgun barrel.

Let's try to do a high tech webcam visualization!

Webcam shot of 20 gauge double-barrel shot gun fired Thursday November 3, 2005 from the muzzle end.



Here's a webcam snapshot of senior citizen with his Ben Franklin 1.5 Walgreens glasses [only used mostly for computer work!] and Charles Daly side-by-side 20 gauge non-selective trigger 6.5 pound shotgun taken Thursday November 3, 2005.



Retired insurance buddy [white pants] phoned. We have reservations at a motel for pheasant hunting opening weekend 2005.

We absolutely deny that we are wasting gas!

Us pheasant hunters in western Kansas 2003 eating lunch.



In 2004 its snowed and blowed!

Hunters who went watched TV in their motel rooms, we were told!


Like Farsi?

Us seniors started using shotshells when they were made of paper.


Jpg shotshell history.



Top red.

Paper number 3 buck, and several others, given to bill for personal protection on our computer science sabbatical visit to University of Illinios - Champaign Urbana, 1972.
What is the difference between paper and plastic shotshells?

Plastic patterns a bit tighter. Which may not be a positive attribute.

Other than that no difference.

The amount of fun is still the same.
We still carry plastic #3 buck ... just in case.

Beneath #4 so old that the color of the plastic is changing. But they still work!

Rare copper top #6 when price of copper was less than other metals.


Shot shell tops can be made of about any metal. Cheapest, at the time, is the best.

Bottom, low metal #8 Winchester shotshell used November 3, 2005.

Here's two Eclipse all-plastic 12 gauge shells.



Welcome to our practical shotshell history.

Here's some gearing information from Raven's book [search for Raven here] which is interesting considering a 4-speed does better than a 5-speed with respect to gas mileage.

We're experimenting running grey rabbit up to about 40 mph [3,200 rpm?] in 3-rd gear, bypassing 4-th and shifting into 5-th!

Rabbit and Golf GTI transmission swap-out should be avoided for the reason that they are geared super low.

Only consideration appears to be how fast a GTI goes from 0 to 60 mph.

Receipt found!

Mr Brody at Speed Labs in Albuquerque [505-830-0944] reports a perfectly rebuilt vw 5-speed costs about $1,000.

The BS media can't be trusted.

Electronic Engineering Times October 24, 2005

That's a 70s red rabbit.

Point ignition.

Horrible fuse panel.

Hydraulic fuel injection system - CIS which work lots better than electronic successor!!!

Traditional electrical lighting.

Total BS picture. Trust me.

There is a disaster story brewing about trying to fix electronics in new cars.

We're experimenting shifting into 5th gear in Albuquerque driving at about 2,600 rpm in 4th gear. This is about 40 mph.

Shifting into 5th gear causes the rpm to drop to about 1,800.

Expensive Bountiful, UT remanfacturered axle appears to making noise.

Transmission? Whine problem discussed with Trey at Discount.

$100 for a "new" transmission.

Old broken 4-speed transmission CRUSHED, Trey reported.

Grey rabbit's starter was making a horrible sound at Rudy's BBQ in Rio Rancho, NM.

Bolts loose. Tightening solved problem.

Last time CV joints were fixed with Discount Auto used parts, a whine developed on the right side of grey rabbit.

Assumption was that the whine was in the CV. But when remanufactured CV axles were placed on both sides, the whine remained.

So after tightening the starter bolts, the left wheel was raised off the ground with a 3 ton Harbor Freight hydraulic jack.

Grey rabbit was run in second gear at about 2,000 rpm.

The whine is on the right side. Maybe in the transmission!

Lifting the left wheel of the ground and repeating the procedure revealed some clanking.

More essential travel.

Dalies, NM Sunday October 30, 2005.

That's a beer can at right. That's a Smith and Wesson 22A pistol. And a Burlington Northern Santa Fe train headed east.

Diesel repair frequently means BIG BUCKS!



PartsPlace Inc.

These guys have a great catalog with maintenance and repair pointers.

GM Smallblock engine blog



VW blog



Inside Discount Auto. Friday October 28, 2005.

Grey rabbit was orginally purchased in Anchorage, AK by a Homer, AK resident.

AKB4UDIE is advertisement sign displayed in major citities today.

We may add, or before the gas and diesel runs out, becomes prohibitively expensive, or both.

Don't miss the opportunity!

Short time here, long time gone.

Hey, patty and bill bill drove a 1972 one-owner Ford F250 4x4 to AK.






Look at the mileage and date.
.


When bought grey rabbit in 1988 the owner claimed that it had about 40K miles on it.

Grey rabbit made a horrible noise. Maybe transmission going out?

We could handle this.
So bill bought grey rabbit for $2,480 ... if his senior mind can be trusted.

It was the right wheel bearing, not the 4-speed transmission!

The four speed transmission failed later! To be replaced by a 5-speed transmission.

Four speed vw transmission were reported in the 1980's to get better gas mileage than 5-speed transmissons.

We think we know the reason. Fourth gear in a 4-speed transmission is about the same [may be exactly] as 5-th gear in a 5-speed transmission.

Bill, in the past, never bothered to shift to 5-th in Albuquerque city driving.

Let's experiment!!!

Back-up switch and lights work!

Two trips were made to Discount Auto this afternoon.

One to pick up a possible correct switch and the second to return an incorrect switch picked-up yesterday.

New switch works without modification! Pins 1 and 8 match schematic!

On the second trip bill got a Discount Auto free religous calendar.

Hat bill wears is an official US government boonie bought from an army/navy surplus store in Newport, RI in 1992.

It was camo then. It is about white now. Bill has two more US government replacements.

Hat is a prescription hat from albuquerque dematolgist Dr Joel Barkoff.

Albuquerque is skin cancer capitol of the US! Our house is 6,020 feet!

Bill's former bother-in-law was law librarian at the Rhode Island state law library.

This was bill's start into pro se litgation.

Diesel fuel $3.309 at Phillips 66 at Tramway and San Bernardino!

Off to Discount Auto to examine two other backup switches with Japanese multimeter.

Grey rabbit's back-up lights haven't work in the past 17 years,

Grey rabbit originally had a 4-speed transmission which failed.

The 4-speed transmission was replaced by a 5-speed transmission.

The back-up lights still did not work.

The back-up light switch connects to the transmission so bill assumed the back-up light failure was somewhere other than the switch since he speculated that not both switches would be bad.

So yesterday, after 17 years, decision was made to find the problem with the back-up lights!

We try not to let the little things bother us since we have so many projects going. Triage.

The fuze was checked first



Number 12 was fine.

Grey rabbit has the new [for a rabbit] style fuze box. It is great.

Green rabbit had the old-style fuze box.



This style is horrible to work on.

Discount Auto in albuquerque has a picture of the an old-style fuze box from a rabbit they disassembled.

One of the fuzes was replace by a .22 long rifle shell!

Next the schematic of the back-up light circuit was studied.



Blue check shows fuze checked.

Connector was removed from switch.

Super-cheap Harbor Freight analog meter [carried in grey rabbit for emergency electrical work] verified that 12 volts appeared on pin 1 [green check].

Paper clip was cut in two. One section plugged into pin 1 and other into pin 8 [red check].

Jumper wire used to connect pin 1 and 8 caused back-up lights to illuminate.

Foreign Aide in albuquerque wanted more than $75 for a new switch.

Discount auto's Ernie sold bill a recycled switch for $10.

Bill cleaned-up the switch Thursday October 27, 2005 afternoon with carb cleaner and water.

Friday water still remained in the switch so it was baked in an oven at about 190 degrees F for about 45 minutes.

Note that the schmatic doesn't match the switch.


Here's a webcam shot of the switch.


In the real world things are usually a bit more complicated.

Pin 1, power, is in the upper left hand corner.

Common is the single bottom pin.

The "new" switch shows 450 Ohm between common and power.

The old switch is open.

However, connecting power on the plug to where common goes on the plug doesn't light the back-up lights.

Connecting power, pin 1, to pin 8 does light the back-up lights.

Bill phoned Ernie at Discount for advise. Ernie is going to check other switches and want bill to phone back in one hour.

Guy at auto recyclers will help you fix your car. Dealership mechanics will not. Most of the time they won't even talk to you.

Stay tuned!


There is NO PIN 8! But there is a slot in the bottom of the switch for a pin.

Bill checked the old switch. Same configuration as above.

Someone, a German speaker of course, probably discovered a cheaper way of building the switch.

Let's see if it works!?

Back from essential travel fishing trip!

Grey rabbit's left front CV joint pulled on a right turn to Slide Inn, MT.

The cb radio didn't work.

So fuses were checked to try to locate the source of the problem.

Then grey rabbit's heater blower motor stopped working.

S-curve manuvers were made to the three mile bridge to try to lubricate the CV.

Maybe this helped a bit. But there was still lots of clanking when turning right.

Decision was made to guts it out and make repairs in Albuquerque.

Grey rabbit's left cv failed catastophically in Bountiful, UT.

Grey rabbit would not move. And was pushed off road with help of two citizens perhaps concerned about a senior citizen in distress?

Possibilities were weighed to solve problem.

1 Remove the licence plate and VIN number. Emply the glove compartment. And head to the airport or rental car office.

2 Rent a truck and dolly to tow grey rabbit back to albuquerque.





$499 for the truck. $113 for the dolly.

The $70 is for truck insurance and $40 for dolly insurance.




Fortunately, Tunex in Bountiful, UT was about two blocks away.

Tunex employees towed Grey rabbit to Tunex.

Cody at Tunex installed a remanufactured left front axle.

Unfortunately, Tunex got the wrong part and the left wheel didn't rotate.

Bill has suffered the same problem rebuilding cv joints.

So two more parts were ordered and one of them turned out to be the right part.

Here's the bill.



Bill got off easy for this mess-up.

Remanfactured axle works lots better than repaired axles.

So right axle was replaced on Tuesday/Wednesday October 25/26 2005



Child life preserver used to protect senior citizen body from cold hard concrete.
If you had to pay someone to fix your VW for you, then you couldn't afford to own one.
Art Garcia, Discount Auto

For less than half the price of Utah job.



No fuse in heater motor slot!??

20 amp fuse solved heater blower motor problem.

But, hey, considering how bad it could have been, the Utah fix was a bargain!

CB radio was fixed. Worked fine on way back to Albuquerque.

We try to solve problems. One way or the other. All legally, of course.

Union Station museum in Ogdon, UT is valuable to understand American transporation history.

The Browning gun museum is on the second floor.




Gas guzzlers were parked with FOR SALE signs in NM, CO, UT, ID, and MT.


East of Ennis, MT on the Madison river east of McAtee bridge.





Ennis, MT.