Shattuck-St Mary's - 50 Year reunion
A class of 1956
emails

Reunion - essential non-gas-wasting travel by senior citizens
First posted
Thursday November 17, 2005 10:40
Updated
Monday January 9, 2012 08:58

Several in-order objectives for essential non-gas-wasting 4,680 mile travel between June 5 and 19, 2006 included

"The Olduvai Theory states that the life expectancy of industrial civilization is approximately 100 years: circa 1930-2030. Energy production per capita (e) defines it. The exponential growth of world energy production ended in 1970... Average e will show no growth from 1979 through circa 2008 ... The rate of change of e will go steeply negative circa 2008 ... World population will decline to about two billion circa 2050 ... A growing number of independent studies concur...."

The class of 1957's year to post.

Edward Harkness

Whiskey & Gunpowder
December 12, 2006
by Byron W. King
Pittsburgh, U.S.A.

Wednesday December 13, 2006.

The Essential Ingredient for Survival: Not Destroying Yourself

Does a nation possess what is, at root, the essential ingredient for survival? Is it willing to change? Can it refrain from destroying itself?

Perhaps you are wondering by now, dear readers, if I am writing indirectly about the U.S. war in Iraq. Well, yes, but it does not end with that one episode in that one nation. The U.S. is, and has been for many decades, sustaining itself and its empire on borrowed money and imported, and depleting, oil supplies. At what point will the self-destructive fiscal and monetary policies end? When will the energy policies swing toward recognizing the looming decline in available oil supply, at almost any price? What kind of systemic shock will it take?

Yes, the war in Iraq is one manifestation of a nation that has mislearned its own history and has extended itself too far in an effort to do too much. But as my good friend Bill Bonner likes to say, “Every empire finds a way to destroy itself.” And there are many ways to do so, notes Bill, with one of the easiest ways being “to invade Mesopotamia and conquer Baghdad.”

Think about it. The Greeks conquered Baghdad, as did the Romans. The Greeks, under Alexander, were smart enough to move on to the east through Persia and to conquer Afghanistan and advance into India. The Romans were smart enough to withdraw from Baghdad shortly after winning their war. But in the past two millennia, Persians, Mongols, and Turks have overrun the place, to their eventual regret. In the 20th century, it was the British who expended their army in the deserts of Mesopotamia, and in the 21st century, it is now the turn of the Americans.

This will require the U.S. to retreat from its horrific, consumption-biased economic and energy policies and follies of the past 50 years or so and move toward economic and energy policies that focus on domestic investment in capital projects. This means rebuilding a national industrial and energy infrastructure, to include greatly advanced investment in energy conservation and production of alternative energy resources. It means more insulation, more windmills, more solar, more of anything that will substitute for imported oil.

The U.S., as a nation, is a reflection of an immense amount of policy hubris and false illusion. This has been so in war; in peace; in its economy; in its narcissistic, late-20th century conception of so-called “American Exceptionalism.” (If we as a nation ever were exceptional, we are not anymore.) The misunderstanding of the nation’s history has thus deluded, if not blinded, many leaders and much of the population to the longer-term consequences. And as one bad policy compounds another, the necessary reassessment never seems to occur.

Never call retreat? Sometimes, retreat is the wisest of choices. A timely retreat can be the essence of sound strategy, I read in Clausewitz. Thank you for reading Whiskey & Gunpowder.

Until we meet again…
Byron W. King

Posted Thursday August 10,2006


In a recent public address to the Senate of Australia, Bakhtiari stated that "I can see a range of $100-150 [per barrel of oil] not very far into the future." He amplified this statement as follows:

"We are entering an era in which we know nothing much, where we have a brand-new set of rules...One of these new rules, in my opinion, is that there will be in the very near future nothing like business as usual. In my opinion, nothing is usual from now on for any of the countries involved. And the lower you are in the pile, the worse it is going to get."

Bakhtiari believes that the world is at Peak Oil, producing about as much conventional oil on a daily basis as will ever be produced, now about 84 million barrels per day. From here on, the oil markets of the world will be dealing with the ongoing effects of oil field depletion and irreversible production decline. By 2025, Bakhtiari expects that the world's daily production of conventional oil will fall to a level between 50-55 million barrels of oil per day. Bakhtiari counsels that the world's governments, industries, and people accept the fact and begin to prepare. There is no time to lose. ...

Minimize travel of all sorts to economize use of oil-derived fuels, because it is going to happen in any case. Reduce all types of consumption and just plain get leaner and be ready for even bigger cuts. This is as close to where you live as revising home lighting and heating systems, and also includes reducing the size and number of automobiles as soon as possible.


Here's a jpg of chemistry teacher Mr Agerter who warned our chemisty class about peak oil in 1956. And headmaster Goldsmith and math teacher Mr Bailey.

They sure look young!

One of our classmates deserves special recognition.




Classmate Abbott reported he found Fisher's name on the wall.


Our class of 1956 is the middle of about no gas [1906] and possibly peak oil [December 16, 2005?] may have some messages worth listening to? Probably not. Us guys really helped to burn-up petroleum while pursing essential non-gas-wasting projects ... like the shattuck/st mary's 50th class reunion.



Saturday June 10, 2006, Shumway Hall stairs, Faribault, MN.



FACT: from left to right; bottom to top.





















http://www.prosefights.org/baltimoresun/shanebowman.htm#buehlerlet


























Terhune was identified in the class of 1956 the mostly likely to succeed.

Terhune's sister corinne was a classmate at whitman college.

Chuck enumerated his sister's life history since whitman in one sentence. As expected.




Saturday June 10, 2006.









]

http://www.gusleach.com

















Opinion:

Class of 2006 may not have a 50th reunion. If Al Gore is right, of course.

Or even afford or be able to drive to Faribault to celebrate their 10th.


The interstate system was authorized by the Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1956, popularly known as the National Interstate and Defense Highways Act of 1956. It had been lobbied for by major U.S. automobile manufacturers and championed by President Dwight D. Eisenhower, who was influenced by both his experiences as a young soldier crossing the country in 1919 following the route of the Lincoln Highway and his appreciation of the German autobahn network.

A Crude Awakening


Brunch Sunday June 11, 2006



1956 class drill in armory.

Weather cold.




Official class photo on stairs in Shumway hall before dinner - but after bar opened.



Staring at a really-bad portrait of headmaster goldsmith.


My impression after talking to some members of the classs of 1956 is that:

How life beat-up on 1956 class members.

Most noticable it left members senior citizens.

Lot's of hearing aids, white and grey hair seen.

Class members are generally a bit more rotund.

No tatoos!

patty and bill with john and sally hunner on friday evening in northfield, mn.

John was senior year roommate.


Pre-50th party in Minneapolis on June 8, 2006.

Patty and Bill arrived in the early afternoon. Rather than sit in the hotel we drove near the Mall of America and took light rail system to downtown Minneapolis



We walked the downtown area, visited Marshall Field deparment store, then departed.



2274 x 1704 pixel jpgs are reszed to 800 x600.

Jim Abbott and several others were taking digitial photos. We'll try to get these posted ... for those of the class of 1956 who elected not to be depresed by seening our classmates transformed into senior citizens and to hear the horror stories of deaths, divorces, failed plans, .. and other unpleasantnesses.


Then there is gus leach who looks to have been horribly successful.

John [left blurry - flash wasn't used] and sally Hunner, Gus Leach [right looking at camera] gail leach just behind Tim Palmer Thursday June 8, 2006 class of 1956 pre-reunion dinner, Sofitel Hotel, Bloomington, MN.



Bill lamont is talking to gerry olson's wife.

Peter benson's side of head.


Peter looks quite distinguished with short white hair and white mustache!

Patty Payne to right of peter.



We are staying at Comfort Inn Owatonna nights of June 9 and 10.

Ms Southworth [888-729-4946] gave me these numbers.
Comfort Inn 507-444-0818
Holiday 507-446-8900

Shattuck, founded in 1858, Shattuck-St. Mary’s is one of the oldest college preparatory schools in the Midwest.

High school classes of 1856 celebrated their 50th in 1906.

The most important oil well ever drilled was in the middle of quiet farm country in northwestern Pennsylvania in 1859. For this was one of the first successful oil wells that was drilled for the sole purpose of finding oil. Known as the Drake Well, after "Colonel" Edwin Drake, the man responsible for the well, it began an international search for petroleum, and in many ways eventually changed the way we live.

Shattuck class of 1906
Ford incorporated the Ford Motor Company in 1903, proclaiming, "I will build a car for the great multitude." In October 1908, he did so, offering the Model T for $950. In the Model T's nineteen years of production, its price dipped as low as $280. Nearly 15,500,000 were sold in the United States alone. The Model T heralds the beginning of the Motor Age; the car evolved from luxury item for the well-to-do to essential transportation for the ordinary man.

celebrated its 50th in 1956!

Shattuck class of 1956 will hopefully celebrate their 50th in 2006.
Hubbert talk: "Nuclear energy and the fossil fuels" (PDF) M. King Hubbart, www.hubbertpeak.com The evolution of our knowledge of petroleum since Colonel Drake's discover of oil in Titusville, Pennsylvania, nearly a century ago, resembles in many striking respects the evolution of knowledge of world geography which occurred during the century following Columbus's discovery of America. During that period several continents, a number of large islands, and numerous smaller islands were discovered, but how many more might there be? Also during that period geographical charts had to be continuously revised in order to incorporate the new discoveries that were repeatedly being made, and also to correct some earlier speculations which had proved to be seriously in error. In addition, more detailed knowledge of the shore lines and other features of the areas discovered earlier was rapidly accruing, which also had to be added to the charts.

Then, as now, a voyager starting out on a major expedition of discovery needed to equip himself with charts of two kinds. He needed the large-scale detailed charts for piloting along known shores, and the comprehensive charts of whole oceans, or even of the known world, as a guide for his major navigations.

Likewise for the petroleum industry the last century has been a period of bold adventure and discovery. Whole petroleum provinces analogous to the continents have been discovered and partly explored; a few tens of very large fields, corresponding to the large islands, and hundreds of small fields, the small islands, have been discovered. But how far along have we come on our way to complete exploration? (8 March 1956)

Peak Oil turns 50! This site commemorates the 50th anniversary of M. King Hubbert's presentation on March 8, 1956 to a regional conference of the American Petroleum Institute, accurately forecasting 1970 to be the peak year of Lower 48 annual oil extraction in the United States. All peak oil discussion of recent years flow from Hubbert's startling prediction, nearly a half century ago.

Hubbert's prepared remarks prepared remarks (57 pages) for the March 1956 meeting of the American Petroleum Association in San Antonio, Texas. Suggested by JB, keeping in mind that March 7, 2006 is the 50th Anniversary of Hubbert's prediction. More of Hubbert's writings are available at http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/.

The concept of "peak oil" was developed way back in 1956 when American geophysicist Dr M. King Hubbert created a model of future oil availability, called the Hubbert curve, which forecast that world oil production would peak in 2000 and then fall rapidly as a result of the exploration industry being unable to discover replacement reserves quick enough.

Author envisions world oil shortage

Energy & Environment Public Lecture Series: The End of Oil?

The revolution began in 1945 when the Rockefeller Foundation and the Mexican government established the Cooperative Wheat Research and Production Program to improve the agricultural output of the country's farms. Norman Borlaug was instrumental in this program. This produced astounding results, so that Mexico went from having to import half its wheat to self-sufficiency by 1956 and, by 1964, to exporting half a million tons of wheat. This program was continued in India and Pakistan where it is credited with saving over one billion people from starvation, although it is worthwhile mentioning that several scholars, notably economist Amartya Sen have concluded that increases in food production such as those experiences in the Green Revolution do not necessarily lead to increases in food security. Norman Borlaug won the 1970 Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts.

Fifty years ago this week, on March 8, 1956, at a meeting of the American Petroleum Institute in San Antonio, Texas, M. King Hubbert, in the preprinted version of his prepared remarks, had the following statement, "According to the best currently available information, the production of petroleum and natural gas on a world scale will probably pass its climax within the order of a half century (i.e., by 2006), while for both the United States and for Texas, the peaks of production may be expected to occur with the next 10 or 15 years (i.e., 1966 to 1971)."

Using the HL technique, Dr. Deffeyes, an associate of Dr. Hubbert, predicted that the world crossed the mathematical 50% of Qt mark on December 16, 2005. In other words, Dr. Deffeyes believes that the world is now where the Lower 48 was at in the early Seventies.

Shattuck class of 2006 may have real problems travelling to Faribault to celebrate its 50th in 2056.

"Thirty years from now, oil will be little used as a source of energy," Kenneth Deffeyes told a crowd at the University of Alaska Fairbanks recently. "Our grandchildren will say, 'you burned it? All those beautiful molecules? You burned it?'"

In the January 2004 Current Events on this web site, I predicted that world oil production would peak on Thanksgiving Day, November 24, 2005. In hindsight, that prediction was in error by three weeks. An update using the 2005 data shows that we passed the peak on December 16, 2005.

The Times reports that solar energy today supplies one percent of US electricity; the hope is to double that to 2 percent by the year 2025. By 2025, we're going to be back in the Stone Age.


April 5 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. companies one step away from default are selling a record amount of bonds.

Jostens Inc., the biggest maker of school rings, and a Hard Rock International Inc. affiliate are among borrowers rated CCC or lower who offered $20 billion of debt since December. The sales are the most since at least 1999, when Bloomberg began compiling the data, and are four times the amount from a year- ago.

swestdal@san.rr.com

Got phone message.


No, I don't think I'll be coming.

We decided to come and had a great time.



Too many other pressing projects. And I think we'll be in the northwest vacationing at that time.

While I thought the acadmic opportunities at Shattuck were outstanding, other aspects of Shattuck life didn't appeal to me.


So I will try to focus on what I felt was the really positive aspect at Shattuck: REALLY OUTSTANDING AND DEDICATED TEACHERS.



best
bill

Oh, I'm back to messing with cars



http://www.peakoil.com/
http://www.energybulletin.net/news.php?cat=40
http://www.theoildrum.com/

Rainwater may be perceptive.
http://www.energybulletin.net/11695.html




I received



That's not me!

That's Tim Palmer.

Our photos got switched in the 1956 Shattuck School year book.

Family
Married Patricia Lou Andrews June 9, 1962



Two children:

Dr Tanya L May
Andrew H Payne

Two grandchildren:

Laurel May
Gavin May


Career
USN Personnel Research Activity, Navy Training Laboratory, San Diego, CA 1963-1965
National Academy of Science - National Research Council postdoctoral fellow, Navy Electronics Lab, San Diego, CA 1965-66
Computer Science and Psychology professor, Washington State University, Pullman WA 1966-1979
Visiting research professor in computer science at the Unveristy of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign, 1972-73
Consultant Boeing Commercial Airplane Company, Everett, WA 1979-80
Member of the Technical Staff, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM 1980-92
Windows device driver consultant, 1992-2002
Retired, 2002

Education
BA, Whitman college, 1959
MS Purdue University 1961
PhD Purdue Univestity 1964

Volunteer Work/Organizations

Updated May 31, 2006
Pro se legal project with Arthur R Morales

Classmates I have maintained contact with over the years
None

Highlight of my life
Participant in How the spy sting on Iran story got out

Favorite teacher while in school
Math teacher Mr. Bailey - but all of the teachers were excellent.



Chemistry Teacher, Mr Agerter deserves special recognition.

Agerter, if my senior menory serves me correctly, worked for the oil industry before coming to Shattuck.

Agerter, if my senior menory serves me correctly, drew on the blackboard Hubbert's peak in 1956 for us chemistry students.

More links

http://www.peakoil.com/

http://www.energybulletin.net/

http://www.energybulletin.net/11695.html The Rainwater prophecy.
http://lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/ Life after the oil crash.

http://www.theoildrum.com/

Shattuck school physics teacher, Mr Rhaesa [sp?] may have advised us:

What are the Laws of Thermodynamics?

1st Law—Energy can be changed from one form to another, but it cannot be created or destroyed. The total amount of energy in the universe remains constant, merely changing from one form to another.

2nd Law—In all energy exchanges, if no energy enters or leaves the system, the potential energy of the state will always be less than that of the initial state. This is also known as the law of entropy.

3rd Law—It is impossible to cool a body to absolute zero by any finite process. This is actually more of a postulate than a law. In any case, it has little application to our discussion and is presented here merely for thoroughness.

PEAKING OF WORLD OIL PRODUCTION: IMPACTS, MITIGATION, & RISK

I wonder where chemistry teacher Mr Ageter got his information about peak oil he gave us in 1956?

If I recall correctly Mr Ageter sketched the normal distribution curve on the blackboard.

Fifty years ago this week, on March 8, 1956, at a meeting of the American Petroleum Institute in San Antonio, Texas, M. King Hubbert, in the preprinted version of his prepared remarks, had the following statement, "According to the best currently available information, the production of petroleum and natural gas on a world scale will probably pass its climax within the order of a half century (i.e., by 2006), while for both the United States and for Texas, the peaks of production may be expected to occur with the next 10 or 15 years (i.e., 1966 to 1971)." As more and more people are learning, Lower 48 oil production, as predicted by Dr. Hubbert, peaked in 1970, and it has fallen fairly steadily since 1970. Fifty years ago this week, on March 8, 1956, at a meeting of the American Petroleum Institute in San Antonio, Texas, M. King Hubbert, in the preprinted version of his prepared remarks, had the following statement, "According to the best currently available information, the production of petroleum and natural gas on a world scale will probably pass its climax within the order of a half century (i.e., by 2006), while for both the United States and for Texas, the peaks of production may be expected to occur with the next 10 or 15 years (i.e., 1966 to 1971)." As more and more people are learning, Lower 48 oil production, as predicted by Dr. Hubbert, peaked in 1970, and it has fallen fairly steadily since 1970.

I also recall Mr Ageter telling our chemistry class about "casing head" gas would power a car ... but the engine knocked lots.

In 1956 world population was slightly over 2 billion.

The world's population has reached 6.5 billion this year, a billion more than 1993, despite low fertility in developed countries and high mortality in developing countries, a new United Nations report says.

Peak oil now?

If peak oil is now, then the world population could be considerably less than 6.5 billion by 2150.


Did you know that one time at Shattuck I ...

learned how to study.

Please let me know if this web page will work as a response to your letter.

Your office should be able to print the page.

Thanks in advance.

Bill


Supreme Court of the United States
PENTAGEN TECHNOLOGIES INTERNATIONAL LIMITED, & RUSSELL D. VARNADO. JOEL Z. ROBINSON Petitioners,

V. CACI, INTERNATIONAL INC., CACI, INC - FEDERAL, CACI SYSTEMS INTEGRATION, INC. Respondents.


----- Original Message -----
From: John Baird
To: bpayne37@comcast.net
Sent: Tuesday, December 19, 2006 10:52 PM
Subject: www.prosefights.org


Hello Bill,

Happened across your website because of a Shattuck reference (I entered Shattuck in 1957 as a freshman) and thought I’d drop you an empathetic note as I also have a 16+ year case involving the Federal Government and major defense contractors. Seminal software was stolen from my 53rd Street office in NYC at gunpoint and then used on approximately $13 Billion worth of government, mainly defense, contracts -- I’ve attached the US Supreme Court brief, which was first slated to be heard and then was not heard because the case did not meet the mandatory “death knell” requirement for cases before the US Supreme Court. The case(s) is in fact still going on and seems to be finally entering a positive phase as we recently filed a “fraud on the court” action that caused a default from the defendants (it took almost 15 years to get the facts corroborated which now prove the fraud). An article in the April 1996 Scientific American titled “Battling the Enemy Within, A Billion Dollar Fiasco” references my company Pentagen. As a result of the recent default, my attorneys expect to move for a summary judgment and then for damages.

It seems your 50th reunion was worth the trip -- I remember Gus Leach, played hockey with his brother Larry, was friendly with his brother Gil, and, as I grew up in Winnipeg, knew his brother Norman and sister Linda (Larry and Gil followed Gus to Shattuck). I’ll try and plan to make my 50th.

Do you know of a national website that highlights cases of abusive legal procedure. One of the more egregious abuses in Pentagen’s long running many cases occurred when we obtained proof that IBM’s lawyers lied to get IBM out of a $472MM judgment in favor of Pentagen. This resulted in a federal judge on two separate occasions referring these facts to a federal prosecutor for prosecution, the federal prosecutors took no action against IBM (IBM’s attorneys resigned from the case the day we received documents as a result of a freedom of information request that proved they lied).

Best of luck on your case – I believe perseverance can pay off.

Warm regards,

-John

John C. Baird
430 East 86th Street, #9D
New York, NY 10028
Tel: 212-988-0073
Cell: 212-961-7808
Email: jcbaird@gmail.com

John C. Baird
Chief Administrative Officer
MMF Systems, Inc.
10 Rockefeller Plaza, Suite 1420
New York, NY 10020
Tel: 212-861-6645
Email: jb@mmf.com